NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN GS
Points 115.8 113.2
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 63.2 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 37.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.0
Shooting DEN GS
Field Goals Made 43.8 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.7 91.4
Field Goal % 48.3% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 57.3 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 20.6
Free Throw % 77.4% 77.7%
Ball Control DEN GS
Rebounds 49.8 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 13.9
Turnovers 10.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.3
Steals 6.3 5.8
Fouls 15.1 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN GS
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 103.4
% of Possessions with DEN GS
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 29.8%
Player Fouled 16.4% 15.0%
Turnover 10.6% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN GS
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 27.2%