NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND PHI
Points 119.4 117.0
Total Points   236.4
Points From 2-Pointers 65.7 63.7
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 29.8
Points From Free Throws 18.0 23.5
Shooting IND PHI
Field Goals Made 44.8 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.8 88.7
Field Goal % 49.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.8 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 61.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 18.0 23.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 28.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 82.0%
Ball Control IND PHI
Rebounds 48.1 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 13.1
Turnovers 11.9 11.0
Blocked Shots 7.0 6.2
Steals 5.6 6.3
Fouls 18.9 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND PHI
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 104.7
% of Possessions with IND PHI
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 23.4%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.4%
Turnover 11.6% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND PHI
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 26.8%