NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND MIL
Points 120.8 119.3
Total Points   240.2
Points From 2-Pointers 66.7 63.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 34.4
Points From Free Throws 15.7 21.6
Shooting IND MIL
Field Goals Made 46.2 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 92.7 86.8
Field Goal % 49.8% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 33.4 31.7
2 Pointers Attempted 57.8 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 15.7 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 27.6
Free Throw % 76.9% 78.0%
Ball Control IND MIL
Rebounds 46.7 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.8
Turnovers 9.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.3
Steals 6.1 5.3
Fouls 19.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND MIL
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 102.7
% of Possessions with IND MIL
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 26.8%
Player Fouled 16.5% 18.8%
Turnover 9.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND MIL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 23.1%