NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND MIL
Points 120.8 119.6
Total Points   240.5
Points From 2-Pointers 67.3 63.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 34.7
Points From Free Throws 15.7 21.5
Shooting IND MIL
Field Goals Made 46.3 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 92.4 86.7
Field Goal % 50.1% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 33.7 31.7
2 Pointers Attempted 57.9 55.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 15.7 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 27.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 78.0%
Ball Control IND MIL
Rebounds 46.6 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.7
Turnovers 10.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.3
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 19.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND MIL
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 102.5
% of Possessions with IND MIL
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 27.3%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.9%
Turnover 9.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND MIL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 23.1%