NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CLE
Points 118.3 115.6
Total Points   233.9
Points From 2-Pointers 64.7 64.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 32.6
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.8
Shooting IND CLE
Field Goals Made 45.0 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.8 87.2
Field Goal % 50.1% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 24.7
Free Throw % 77.0% 76.2%
Ball Control IND CLE
Rebounds 46.3 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.4
Turnovers 11.4 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.3
Steals 6.9 5.9
Fouls 19.3 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CLE
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 101.3
% of Possessions with IND CLE
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 26.2%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.9%
Turnover 11.1% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CLE
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 24.3%