NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CLE
Points 116.5 106.1
Total Points   222.6
Points From 2-Pointers 65.7 60.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 26.9
Points From Free Throws 15.8 18.4
Shooting IND CLE
Field Goals Made 44.5 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 88.0
Field Goal % 50.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.9 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.6 61.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 24.4
Free Throw % 79.4% 75.3%
Ball Control IND CLE
Rebounds 47.3 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 13.8
Turnovers 12.9 14.9
Blocked Shots 7.4 4.7
Steals 8.5 7.0
Fouls 18.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CLE
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 102.0
% of Possessions with IND CLE
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 22.4%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.2%
Turnover 12.5% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CLE
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 27.0%