NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND BOS
Points 112.1 120.5
Total Points   232.6
Points From 2-Pointers 63.4 61.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.4 40.2
Points From Free Throws 12.3 18.8
Shooting IND BOS
Field Goals Made 43.8 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 88.6
Field Goal % 46.8% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 59.4 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 35.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 12.3 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 23.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 80.1%
Ball Control IND BOS
Rebounds 46.4 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.3
Turnovers 10.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.0
Steals 5.2 5.6
Fouls 17.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND BOS
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 102.4
% of Possessions with IND BOS
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 31.1%
Player Fouled 14.2% 17.6%
Turnover 10.4% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND BOS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 26.3%