NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND LAC
Points 119.9 119.2
Total Points   239.1
Points From 2-Pointers 65.6 66.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 30.6
Points From Free Throws 16.2 22.4
Shooting IND LAC
Field Goals Made 45.5 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.5 86.7
Field Goal % 49.7% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.8 33.1
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 59.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 16.2 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 26.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 83.5%
Ball Control IND LAC
Rebounds 45.4 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.6 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 11.8
Turnovers 10.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.7
Steals 6.7 6.0
Fouls 19.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND LAC
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 102.1
% of Possessions with IND LAC
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 23.5%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.7%
Turnover 10.5% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND LAC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 25.9%