NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CHA
Points 124.3 110.9
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 69.0 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 30.2
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.6
Shooting IND CHA
Field Goals Made 47.8 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 87.1
Field Goal % 53.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 34.5 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 58.4
2 Point Shooting % 63.0% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 22.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.9%
Ball Control IND CHA
Rebounds 48.4 43.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.3
Turnovers 11.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.3
Steals 6.4 5.5
Fouls 18.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CHA
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 99.8
% of Possessions with IND CHA
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 25.0%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.7%
Turnover 11.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CHA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 21.5%