NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CHA
Points 124.5 110.8
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 68.6 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 30.2
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.4
Shooting IND CHA
Field Goals Made 47.8 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 87.3
Field Goal % 52.9% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 34.3 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 58.5
2 Point Shooting % 62.8% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 22.1
Free Throw % 77.3% 78.9%
Ball Control IND CHA
Rebounds 48.7 43.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.3
Turnovers 11.5 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.3
Steals 6.4 5.5
Fouls 18.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CHA
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 99.9
% of Possessions with IND CHA
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 25.1%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.6%
Turnover 11.3% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CHA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 21.5%