NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND NY
Points 119.4 117.1
Total Points   236.5
Points From 2-Pointers 66.4 64.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 32.2
Points From Free Throws 15.7 20.9
Shooting IND NY
Field Goals Made 45.6 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 89.3
Field Goal % 51.1% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 33.2 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 59.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.0% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.0 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 15.7 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 26.8
Free Throw % 77.5% 78.0%
Ball Control IND NY
Rebounds 45.0 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 15.6
Turnovers 11.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.3
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 19.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND NY
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 105.0
% of Possessions with IND NY
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 24.7%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.9%
Turnover 11.1% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND NY
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 31.6%