NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND NY
Points 119.4 117.2
Total Points   236.6
Points From 2-Pointers 66.5 64.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 32.3
Points From Free Throws 15.6 20.9
Shooting IND NY
Field Goals Made 45.7 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 89.2
Field Goal % 51.3% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 33.2 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 59.8
2 Point Shooting % 60.0% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 15.6 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 26.8
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.0%
Ball Control IND NY
Rebounds 44.7 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 15.5
Turnovers 11.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.4
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 19.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND NY
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 104.9
% of Possessions with IND NY
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 24.7%
Player Fouled 16.1% 18.9%
Turnover 11.2% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND NY
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 31.6%