NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND NY
Points 119.2 116.3
Total Points   235.4
Points From 2-Pointers 66.4 62.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.7 33.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 20.5
Shooting IND NY
Field Goals Made 45.7 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 88.6
Field Goal % 51.6% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 33.2 31.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 58.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 26.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.4%
Ball Control IND NY
Rebounds 45.0 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 15.4
Turnovers 11.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.4
Steals 5.7 6.0
Fouls 19.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND NY
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 104.1
% of Possessions with IND NY
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 25.5%
Player Fouled 16.1% 19.1%
Turnover 11.4% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND NY
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 31.4%