NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND ORL
Points 115.1 113.3
Total Points   228.4
Points From 2-Pointers 64.7 64.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 26.7
Points From Free Throws 17.0 22.5
Shooting IND ORL
Field Goals Made 43.5 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 84.1
Field Goal % 50.2% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 17.0 22.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 29.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.8%
Ball Control IND ORL
Rebounds 44.0 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 12.6
Turnovers 13.0 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.0
Steals 7.3 6.6
Fouls 21.3 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND ORL
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 101.6
% of Possessions with IND ORL
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 22.0%
Player Fouled 17.6% 20.8%
Turnover 12.7% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND ORL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 26.9%