NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND BK
Points 120.7 113.2
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 66.0 61.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 31.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 19.7
Shooting IND BK
Field Goals Made 45.9 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 89.1
Field Goal % 50.3% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.8 59.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 15.9 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 25.8
Free Throw % 77.2% 76.0%
Ball Control IND BK
Rebounds 48.3 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.5
Turnovers 10.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.9
Steals 6.1 5.4
Fouls 18.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND BK
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 104.1
% of Possessions with IND BK
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.3%
Turnover 10.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND BK
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 26.8%