NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND POR
Points 125.5 111.5
Total Points   236.9
Points From 2-Pointers 72.6 64.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.8 27.8
Points From Free Throws 18.1 19.7
Shooting IND POR
Field Goals Made 47.9 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 90.8
Field Goal % 53.8% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 36.3 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 56.1 63.7
2 Point Shooting % 64.6% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 18.1 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 24.8
Free Throw % 77.0% 79.4%
Ball Control IND POR
Rebounds 47.3 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 15.4
Turnovers 11.7 13.6
Blocked Shots 7.1 4.3
Steals 7.7 5.9
Fouls 17.9 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND POR
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 105.1
% of Possessions with IND POR
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 22.3%
Player Fouled 17.6% 17.3%
Turnover 11.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND POR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 29.9%