NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND WAS
Points 130.5 116.5
Total Points   247.0
Points From 2-Pointers 77.6 66.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.1 30.7
Points From Free Throws 17.8 18.8
Shooting IND WAS
Field Goals Made 50.5 43.7
Field Goals Attempted 93.3 90.7
Field Goal % 54.1% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 38.8 33.5
2 Pointers Attempted 61.4 61.1
2 Point Shooting % 63.2% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 17.8 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 24.5
Free Throw % 77.2% 76.8%
Ball Control IND WAS
Rebounds 51.0 43.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.6
Turnovers 11.5 12.7
Blocked Shots 7.2 4.6
Steals 7.2 5.9
Fouls 18.5 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND WAS
Total Possessions 106.1
Effective Scoring Chances 106.8 104.0
% of Possessions with IND WAS
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 24.8%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.4%
Turnover 10.9% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND WAS
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 21.5%