NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO CHI
Points 114.9 110.2
Total Points   225.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.9 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 40.9 36.5
Points From Free Throws 18.1 16.1
Shooting NO CHI
Field Goals Made 41.6 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 87.9
Field Goal % 48.7% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.4 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 18.1 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 20.3
Free Throw % 77.4% 79.3%
Ball Control NO CHI
Rebounds 48.5 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.4
Turnovers 12.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.8
Steals 6.7 6.3
Fouls 16.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO CHI
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 99.8
% of Possessions with NO CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 31.2%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.5%
Turnover 12.0% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO CHI
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.3%