NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO CHI
Points 114.0 110.4
Total Points   224.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 37.0
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.0
Shooting NO CHI
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 87.7
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.2
Free Throw % 77.9% 79.2%
Ball Control NO CHI
Rebounds 48.3 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 11.2
Turnovers 12.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.7
Steals 6.9 6.5
Fouls 16.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO CHI
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 99.6
% of Possessions with NO CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 31.3%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.6%
Turnover 12.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO CHI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.1%