NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO LAC
Points 111.9 111.6
Total Points   223.5
Points From 2-Pointers 58.8 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 39.7
Points From Free Throws 17.3 17.8
Shooting NO LAC
Field Goals Made 41.3 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 84.1
Field Goal % 47.6% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 48.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.3 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 21.4
Free Throw % 77.9% 83.0%
Ball Control NO LAC
Rebounds 47.2 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.4
Turnovers 11.3 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.6
Steals 7.5 6.1
Fouls 16.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO LAC
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 96.6
% of Possessions with NO LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 32.4%
Player Fouled 16.5% 17.1%
Turnover 11.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO LAC
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 22.9%