NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MEM
Points 114.6 103.4
Total Points   218.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 41.1
Points From Free Throws 17.9 16.0
Shooting NO MEM
Field Goals Made 42.0 36.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 85.9
Field Goal % 49.0% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 17.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.6%
Ball Control NO MEM
Rebounds 51.0 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 12.0
Turnovers 13.3 14.4
Blocked Shots 5.7 6.0
Steals 8.1 6.7
Fouls 16.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MEM
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 98.1
% of Possessions with NO MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 35.4%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.7%
Turnover 13.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MEM
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 23.4%