NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO LAL
Points 114.1 113.7
Total Points   227.8
Points From 2-Pointers 60.9 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.7 37.2
Points From Free Throws 14.5 17.5
Shooting NO LAL
Field Goals Made 43.3 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 83.9
Field Goal % 47.4% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 14.5 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 22.6
Free Throw % 77.9% 77.5%
Ball Control NO LAL
Rebounds 48.1 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.3
Turnovers 11.6 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.8
Steals 8.2 5.8
Fouls 17.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO LAL
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 97.0
% of Possessions with NO LAL
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 30.5%
Player Fouled 13.4% 17.3%
Turnover 11.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO LAL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 18.5%