NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO DAL
Points 111.4 112.3
Total Points   223.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 51.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.5 44.2
Points From Free Throws 17.5 16.6
Shooting NO DAL
Field Goals Made 40.9 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 85.9
Field Goal % 46.6% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 41.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.5 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.9
Free Throw % 77.9% 75.4%
Ball Control NO DAL
Rebounds 49.8 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.1
Turnovers 12.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.1
Steals 7.4 5.6
Fouls 18.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO DAL
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 98.9
% of Possessions with NO DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 37.0%
Player Fouled 16.1% 18.3%
Turnover 11.9% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO DAL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 21.0%