NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO OKC
Points 108.8 115.2
Total Points   224.0
Points From 2-Pointers 53.7 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 41.0
Points From Free Throws 18.1 16.9
Shooting NO OKC
Field Goals Made 39.2 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 86.6
Field Goal % 45.0% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 49.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 20.6
Free Throw % 77.9% 82.0%
Ball Control NO OKC
Rebounds 49.5 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 9.2
Turnovers 13.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 6.5
Steals 7.4 6.8
Fouls 17.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO OKC
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 98.3
% of Possessions with NO OKC
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 32.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 17.1%
Turnover 13.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO OKC
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 20.1%