NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO POR
Points 117.3 104.6
Total Points   221.9
Points From 2-Pointers 65.1 53.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 35.6
Points From Free Throws 19.5 15.8
Shooting NO POR
Field Goals Made 43.5 38.5
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 87.5
Field Goal % 51.5% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.6 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 30.6 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 19.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 19.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.4%
Ball Control NO POR
Rebounds 48.7 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 13.4
Turnovers 12.3 14.2
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.2
Steals 8.6 6.0
Fouls 15.7 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO POR
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 99.4
% of Possessions with NO POR
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 15.7%
Turnover 12.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO POR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 26.3%