NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET MEM
Points 110.5 111.5
Total Points   222.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 36.9
Points From Free Throws 17.9 18.6
Shooting DET MEM
Field Goals Made 40.4 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 87.3
Field Goal % 46.7% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.9 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 24.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.6%
Ball Control DET MEM
Rebounds 49.8 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 11.6
Turnovers 15.1 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.7 7.1
Steals 6.8 9.0
Fouls 18.3 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET MEM
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 101.2
% of Possessions with DET MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 29.8%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.8%
Turnover 14.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET MEM
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.4%