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Detroit at Miami
Mon Jan 18, 2021
8:00pm ET
Miami, FL
Detroit at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 6, Total Points: 216
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DET | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-41-1 | 43-41-2 | |
| vs Division | 7-8-1 | 9-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 27-23-1 | 29-25-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 18-21-1 | 17-25-0 | |
| Away | 22-20-0 | 26-16-2 |
Detroit Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 1 | +8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Charlotte | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Chicago | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Okla City | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Portland | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 11/02 | Away | New Orleans | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Phoenix | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Golden State | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Milwaukee | +12.0 | L by 2 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Atlanta | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Cleveland | +9.0 | L by 8 | +1.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Toronto | +9.5 | L by 29 | -19.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Denver | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Indiana | +9.5 | L by 23 | -13.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Washington | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | LA Lakers | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | New York | +14.5 | L by 6 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Cleveland | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Memphis | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Orlando | +10.5 | L by 32 | -21.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Indiana | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Philadelphia | +12.0 | L by 18 | -6.0 |
| 12/15 | Away | Philadelphia | +15.5 | L by 32 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Milwaukee | +16.5 | L by 32 | -15.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Atlanta | +11.5 | L by 6 | +5.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Brooklyn | +9.5 | L by 11 | -1.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Brooklyn | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Boston | +17.0 | L by 6 | +11.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Houston | +9.5 | L by 23 | -13.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Utah | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Golden State | +10.5 | L by 4 | +6.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Denver | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Sacramento | +11.0 | L by 21 | -10.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | San Antonio | +3.0 | L by 22 | -19.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Houston | +9.0 | L by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Washington | +6.0 | W by 12 | +18.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Minnesota | +12.5 | L by 7 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Milwaukee | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Milwaukee | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Charlotte | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Washington | -3.5 | L by 14 | -17.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Okla City | +12.5 | W by 16 | +28.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Cleveland | +13.5 | L by 7 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | LA Clippers | +12.0 | L by 11 | +1.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Orlando | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Sacramento | +13.5 | W by 13 | +26.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Portland | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LA Clippers | +17.0 | L by 6 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | LA Lakers | +12.0 | L by 14 | -2.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Phoenix | +13.5 | L by 16 | -2.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Indiana | +12.0 | L by 14 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Orlando | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | New York | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Chicago | +10.0 | W by 10 | +20.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Cleveland | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Orlando | +11.0 | L by 22 | -11.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami | +11.0 | L by 8 | +3.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Brooklyn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 18 | -9.0 |
| 03/11 | Home | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 17 | +12.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | Miami | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Miami | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Boston | +15.0 | L by 25 | -10.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Indiana | +11.0 | L by 19 | -8.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Boston | +14.0 | L by 27 | -13.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | New Orleans | +14.5 | L by 13 | +1.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | New York | +17.0 | L by 25 | -8.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Minnesota | +16.5 | L by 15 | +1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Washington | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 04/01 | Home | Memphis | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 04/03 | Away | Atlanta | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 18 | -19.0 |
| 04/06 | Away | Brooklyn | +10.5 | L by 10 | +0.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Philadelphia | +15.0 | L by 18 | -3.0 |
| 04/11 | Home | Chicago | +11.0 | L by 22 | -11.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Dallas | +11.0 | W by 18 | +29.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | San Antonio | +5.0 | L by 28 | -23.0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
| MIA -6.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 1000 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 702 times (70.2%).
- The team like Detroit won the game 298 times (29.8%).
- The team like Detroit did better against the spread, going 485-483-32 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 16 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 8-7-1 (53.3% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 08:11 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:01 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:35 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:31 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:59 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:26 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/18 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/18 06:10 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:38 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:11 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:53 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:49 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:53 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/18 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/18 01:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/18 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/18 01:14 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:35 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:32 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:13 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/18 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/18 12:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:59 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:17 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:13 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/18 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/18 11:05 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:02 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/18 10:05 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:58 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:43 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/18 09:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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