NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET CHA
Points 112.4 112.1
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 60.3 60.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 34.9
Points From Free Throws 16.3 16.4
Shooting DET CHA
Field Goals Made 42.1 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 86.1
Field Goal % 48.5% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 16.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 20.8
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.9%
Ball Control DET CHA
Rebounds 48.9 44.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.8
Turnovers 13.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.0
Steals 5.9 7.5
Fouls 17.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET CHA
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 98.1
% of Possessions with DET CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 29.0%
Player Fouled 14.9% 17.1%
Turnover 13.6% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET CHA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 19.1%