NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET NY
Points 108.0 117.8
Total Points   225.9
Points From 2-Pointers 58.0 61.4
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 37.1
Points From Free Throws 16.7 19.3
Shooting DET NY
Field Goals Made 40.1 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 87.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 16.7 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 24.7
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.0%
Ball Control DET NY
Rebounds 45.5 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 13.2
Turnovers 13.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.0
Steals 5.4 8.1
Fouls 18.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET NY
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 102.3
% of Possessions with DET NY
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 28.6%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.2%
Turnover 13.4% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET NY
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 28.0%