NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET BK
Points 109.4 114.5
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 58.1 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 36.8
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.4
Shooting DET BK
Field Goals Made 40.4 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 87.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.9 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 24.2
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.0%
Ball Control DET BK
Rebounds 48.8 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 11.5
Turnovers 12.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.9
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 18.0 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET BK
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 101.8
% of Possessions with DET BK
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.5%
Player Fouled 15.5% 17.7%
Turnover 12.6% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET BK
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 23.6%