NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET IND
Points 114.1 127.1
Total Points   241.2
Points From 2-Pointers 65.7 73.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 35.4
Points From Free Throws 21.0 18.2
Shooting DET IND
Field Goals Made 42.0 48.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 90.5
Field Goal % 47.6% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.8 36.8
2 Pointers Attempted 61.6 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 62.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 21.0 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.8 23.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.6%
Ball Control DET IND
Rebounds 46.9 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.0
Turnovers 13.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 6.9
Steals 5.4 7.9
Fouls 18.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET IND
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 103.9
% of Possessions with DET IND
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 27.2%
Player Fouled 17.3% 17.4%
Turnover 13.1% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET IND
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 22.3%