NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET TOR
Points 116.9 117.2
Total Points   234.2
Points From 2-Pointers 64.6 66.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 32.0
Points From Free Throws 16.5 18.8
Shooting DET TOR
Field Goals Made 44.3 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 88.6
Field Goal % 49.2% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 33.2
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 57.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.5 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.6%
Ball Control DET TOR
Rebounds 49.2 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 10.7
Turnovers 14.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.2
Steals 6.1 8.3
Fouls 17.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET TOR
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.3 102.5
% of Possessions with DET TOR
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 26.3%
Player Fouled 15.2% 17.0%
Turnover 13.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET TOR
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 22.6%