NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET HOU
Points 111.8 119.6
Total Points   231.4
Points From 2-Pointers 59.0 63.0
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 36.0
Points From Free Throws 20.4 20.6
Shooting DET HOU
Field Goals Made 40.3 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 89.6
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 33.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 20.4 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 26.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.8%
Ball Control DET HOU
Rebounds 49.1 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.9
Turnovers 13.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 5.4
Steals 6.0 8.3
Fouls 19.1 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET HOU
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 105.1
% of Possessions with DET HOU
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 28.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 18.4%
Turnover 13.2% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET HOU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 24.1%