NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET PHO
Points 107.6 120.3
Total Points   227.8
Points From 2-Pointers 56.2 64.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.5 34.8
Points From Free Throws 16.9 20.7
Shooting DET PHO
Field Goals Made 39.6 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 84.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 32.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 16.9 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 25.6
Free Throw % 78.3% 80.7%
Ball Control DET PHO
Rebounds 45.3 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 40.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.1
Turnovers 12.6 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 6.4
Steals 7.0 7.9
Fouls 19.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET PHO
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 99.7
% of Possessions with DET PHO
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.3%
Player Fouled 14.8% 18.6%
Turnover 12.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET PHO
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.4%