NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET OKC
Points 106.5 124.9
Total Points   231.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 68.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 36.9
Points From Free Throws 18.4 20.0
Shooting DET OKC
Field Goals Made 38.2 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 87.7
Field Goal % 43.4% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 34.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 56.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 18.4 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 24.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 82.2%
Ball Control DET OKC
Rebounds 47.6 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 8.8
Turnovers 15.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 7.5
Steals 5.9 8.9
Fouls 18.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET OKC
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 101.5
% of Possessions with DET OKC
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 27.4%
Player Fouled 15.1% 18.2%
Turnover 14.9% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET OKC
Shot Blocked 8.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 20.2%