NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET POR
Points 113.8 112.6
Total Points   226.4
Points From 2-Pointers 63.8 62.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.6 32.0
Points From Free Throws 19.4 18.4
Shooting DET POR
Field Goals Made 42.1 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 89.0
Field Goal % 49.4% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.9 31.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 58.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 19.4 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 23.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 79.4%
Ball Control DET POR
Rebounds 47.7 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 13.0
Turnovers 14.0 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.1
Steals 7.2 8.0
Fouls 17.1 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET POR
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 102.6
% of Possessions with DET POR
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 25.8%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.7%
Turnover 13.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET POR
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 26.4%