NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR CHI
Points 112.9 120.8
Total Points   233.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 67.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 37.1
Points From Free Throws 17.5 15.9
Shooting TOR CHI
Field Goals Made 41.3 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 92.2
Field Goal % 47.1% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 33.9
2 Pointers Attempted 51.1 58.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.5 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 20.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.3%
Ball Control TOR CHI
Rebounds 46.1 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 13.2
Turnovers 13.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.8
Steals 6.4 7.1
Fouls 16.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR CHI
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 104.1
% of Possessions with TOR CHI
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.2%
Turnover 12.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR CHI
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 27.5%