NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR LAC
Points 110.9 122.1
Total Points   233.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.9 64.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 40.4
Points From Free Throws 16.7 17.5
Shooting TOR LAC
Field Goals Made 41.4 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 88.4
Field Goal % 46.2% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 16.7 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 21.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 83.1%
Ball Control TOR LAC
Rebounds 45.1 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 12.0
Turnovers 12.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.7
Steals 7.1 6.7
Fouls 16.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR LAC
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 100.9
% of Possessions with TOR LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 16.0% 16.6%
Turnover 11.8% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR LAC
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 27.0%