NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR CHA
Points 114.3 113.5
Total Points   227.9
Points From 2-Pointers 62.3 60.4
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 39.3
Points From Free Throws 15.7 13.8
Shooting TOR CHA
Field Goals Made 43.3 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 88.6
Field Goal % 48.9% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.2 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 15.7 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 17.5
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.9%
Ball Control TOR CHA
Rebounds 48.2 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.6
Turnovers 12.9 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.1
Steals 6.7 6.2
Fouls 15.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR CHA
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 98.9
% of Possessions with TOR CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 31.7%
Player Fouled 15.3% 15.7%
Turnover 12.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR CHA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.5%