NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR DET
Points 117.5 117.2
Total Points   234.6
Points From 2-Pointers 66.5 64.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.2 36.1
Points From Free Throws 18.7 16.4
Shooting TOR DET
Field Goals Made 44.0 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 90.0
Field Goal % 49.6% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 33.3 32.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.9 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.7 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 21.0
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.3%
Ball Control TOR DET
Rebounds 45.9 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.4
Turnovers 12.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.4
Steals 8.4 6.1
Fouls 15.7 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR DET
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 102.3
% of Possessions with TOR DET
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 28.2%
Player Fouled 17.0% 15.1%
Turnover 11.6% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR DET
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 26.1%