NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR POR
Points 116.1 114.9
Total Points   231.0
Points From 2-Pointers 66.3 62.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 36.3
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.7
Shooting TOR POR
Field Goals Made 43.5 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 92.3
Field Goal % 50.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 33.1 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 59.6% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 19.7
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.4%
Ball Control TOR POR
Rebounds 46.4 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 15.7
Turnovers 13.2 14.0
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.2
Steals 8.3 6.7
Fouls 15.7 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR POR
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 104.3
% of Possessions with TOR POR
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 28.2%
Player Fouled 17.2% 15.3%
Turnover 12.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR POR
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 31.2%