NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU CHI
Points 115.2 114.8
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 52.8 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 43.0 33.3
Points From Free Throws 19.3 19.7
Shooting HOU CHI
Field Goals Made 40.8 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 88.8
Field Goal % 45.9% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 48.6 56.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 40.3 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 19.3 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 24.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.2%
Ball Control HOU CHI
Rebounds 49.7 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 12.4
Turnovers 11.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.3
Steals 6.4 6.9
Fouls 18.5 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU CHI
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 103.4
% of Possessions with HOU CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 27.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.1%
Turnover 11.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU CHI
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 25.1%