NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU CLE
Points 111.6 113.2
Total Points   224.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 38.7
Points From Free Throws 17.8 18.6
Shooting HOU CLE
Field Goals Made 40.5 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 85.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 37.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 17.8 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 24.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.1%
Ball Control HOU CLE
Rebounds 49.5 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 38.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 11.2
Turnovers 11.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.8
Steals 7.4 6.5
Fouls 19.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU CLE
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 100.2
% of Possessions with HOU CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 32.3%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.7%
Turnover 11.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU CLE
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.4%