NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU CLE
Points 111.8 112.9
Total Points   224.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.9 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 38.4
Points From Free Throws 17.8 18.6
Shooting HOU CLE
Field Goals Made 40.6 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 85.8
Field Goal % 45.6% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 17.8 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 24.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.2%
Ball Control HOU CLE
Rebounds 49.4 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.1
Turnovers 11.3 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.8
Steals 7.3 6.6
Fouls 18.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU CLE
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 100.1
% of Possessions with HOU CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 32.2%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.6%
Turnover 11.1% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU CLE
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 23.1%