NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU UTA
Points 122.6 117.8
Total Points   240.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 44.6 36.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 22.5
Shooting HOU UTA
Field Goals Made 44.5 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 94.0 87.6
Field Goal % 47.4% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 39.0 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 18.7 22.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 26.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 83.7%
Ball Control HOU UTA
Rebounds 48.2 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 13.5
Turnovers 10.1 14.0
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.8
Steals 7.9 5.6
Fouls 18.7 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU UTA
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 107.7 103.4
% of Possessions with HOU UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.0%
Turnover 9.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU UTA
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 28.2%