NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU WAS
Points 123.3 115.0
Total Points   238.4
Points From 2-Pointers 67.1 60.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 35.7
Points From Free Throws 20.9 18.5
Shooting HOU WAS
Field Goals Made 45.3 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.3 89.6
Field Goal % 48.6% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 33.6 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 59.0 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 20.9 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 24.0
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.8%
Ball Control HOU WAS
Rebounds 54.2 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 10.2
Turnovers 11.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.3
Steals 7.6 6.5
Fouls 18.0 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU WAS
Total Possessions 106.0
Effective Scoring Chances 109.1 103.2
% of Possessions with HOU WAS
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 30.1%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.0%
Turnover 10.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU WAS
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 20.4%