NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA PHI
Points 110.7 113.7
Total Points   224.4
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 60.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 35.6
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.1
Shooting SA PHI
Field Goals Made 40.8 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 92.5
Field Goal % 46.4% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 60.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 22.0
Free Throw % 77.6% 82.1%
Ball Control SA PHI
Rebounds 51.8 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 12.5
Turnovers 14.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 7.5 5.7
Steals 5.3 8.5
Fouls 15.0 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA PHI
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 104.2
% of Possessions with SA PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 27.5%
Player Fouled 17.0% 14.6%
Turnover 13.7% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA PHI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 24.2%