NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA BOS
Points 107.0 120.7
Total Points   227.6
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 59.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 47.0
Points From Free Throws 12.4 14.5
Shooting SA BOS
Field Goals Made 40.7 45.2
Field Goals Attempted 94.0 93.2
Field Goal % 43.3% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 15.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 40.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 12.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 18.4
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.1%
Ball Control SA BOS
Rebounds 50.5 53.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 41.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.7
Turnovers 12.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.9
Steals 5.3 7.5
Fouls 13.9 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA BOS
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 103.7
% of Possessions with SA BOS
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 34.5%
Player Fouled 13.3% 13.6%
Turnover 11.8% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA BOS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 23.6%