NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA SAC
Points 111.6 117.4
Total Points   229.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 62.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 40.4
Points From Free Throws 16.8 14.5
Shooting SA SAC
Field Goals Made 41.0 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 93.6
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 16.8 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 19.5
Free Throw % 77.6% 74.6%
Ball Control SA SAC
Rebounds 49.1 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.3
Turnovers 14.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.1
Steals 6.3 8.5
Fouls 15.0 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA SAC
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 104.8
% of Possessions with SA SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 30.9%
Player Fouled 16.6% 14.4%
Turnover 13.6% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA SAC
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 24.0%