NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA NY
Points 110.3 114.4
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 60.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 38.0
Points From Free Throws 14.9 16.0
Shooting SA NY
Field Goals Made 41.4 42.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 92.4
Field Goal % 47.4% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 58.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.5
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.0%
Ball Control SA NY
Rebounds 48.3 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 14.6
Turnovers 13.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 6.1 4.0
Steals 5.6 8.1
Fouls 15.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA NY
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 104.1
% of Possessions with SA NY
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 28.7%
Player Fouled 15.4% 15.0%
Turnover 13.3% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA NY
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 28.4%