NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA ORL
Points 106.0 110.5
Total Points   216.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 61.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 31.7
Points From Free Throws 16.2 17.2
Shooting SA ORL
Field Goals Made 39.3 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 88.0
Field Goal % 46.5% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 58.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 22.8
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.8%
Ball Control SA ORL
Rebounds 47.4 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.9
Turnovers 15.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.7
Steals 7.0 9.0
Fouls 17.0 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA ORL
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 96.9 101.1
% of Possessions with SA ORL
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 25.8%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.6%
Turnover 15.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA ORL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 24.2%